Month

April 2016

Geopolitics Brief Update

Date: 2016-04-28 - Prepared by: The GISI
In this email I'd like to draw your attention to a recently published study, in The American Economic Review, by two professors from Princeton (one of them — Alan Blinder — previously served as the Vice-Chairman of the Fed). This extensive study...
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Short Strategy Update

Date: 2016-04-27 - Prepared by: The GISI
The correlation between oil and stock prices is weakening and should fall to zero by the end of this year (click here to see the chart). The level of oil prices has essentially become irrelevant for the world economy. Whether...
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GIS April 25 (Don’t Miss This Rally)

Date: 2016-04-24 - Prepared by: The GISI
It would be a mistake to be underweight stocks at this point. The world economy has mostly normalised. As argued in one of our previous email updates, we use Canada's economy as a model for the world economy because Canada is...
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Special Report, Stephen Walt interview

Date: 2016-04-18 - Prepared by: The GISI
We all realise that the influence of geopolitics on finance and economics is growing rapidly, as governments around the world become more intrusive (from imposing more regulations and sanctions to launching QE programs, striking various regional trade agreements and starting...
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An Easy Way to Understand the Global Economy

Date: 2016-04-14 - Prepared by: The GISI
Canada is the only country that simultaneously benefits and suffers from lower commodity prices. Understanding and analyzing Canada’s economy is evidently much simpler than understanding the world economy (because Canada is smaller, data are readily available, reliable and comparable). If we are able to monitor...
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GIS April 11 (My Cost is Your Income)

Date: 2016-04-10 - Prepared by: The GISI
In this issue we argue that (a) recently stock markets have been positively correlated with rising bond yields and hence are not worried about slightly higher interest rates in the U.S.; (b) the short end of the U.S. bond market should soon reprice its...
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