PRODUCTS

A Brief Note on Oil

Date: 2016-09-05 - Prepared by: The GISI
Last weekend, in China, Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman agreed that (a) oil producers would be better off if oil stabilized between $50 and $60 and (b) they should find a compromise with Iran on its level...
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GIS August 29 (Money Multipliers)

Date: 2016-08-28 - Prepared by: The GISI
In this week’s GIS, we discuss a key indicator that most central banks―including the Fed―will be observing carefully in order to figure out how expansive/stimulative their policy truly is.  This document is only available to members Request your free trial...
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Special Alert on Global Rates

Date: 2016-08-23 - Prepared by: The GISI
In this note I would like to share three thoughts. First, the Federal Reserve and US politics. Second, big changes within the Fed in terms of future interest rates. Third, global investment/market implications. This document is only available to members...
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GIS August 15 (The Next Surprise)

Date: 2016-08-14 - Prepared by: The GISI
A very big change is occurring in how the Fed thinks about interest rates. This will have a major impact on all asset classes. We discuss this development in this week’s GIS. We also review: (a) our asset allocation to prepare...
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American-Russian Relations

Date: 2016-08-09 - Prepared by: The GISI
In March 2016, in a fascinating interview to The Atlantic magazine, president Obama revealed some of the dynamics of the US national-security apparatus and explained why, in September 2013, he refused to bomb Syria: “The perception was that my credibility...
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An Alternative to US Bank Stocks

Date: 2016-07-31 - Prepared by: The GISI
When it comes to North American banks, the best risk-reward strategy is to overweight Canadian banks at the expense of American and Mexican banks. Since January 2005, Canadian bank stocks have appreciated by 300% whereas US bank stocks have declined...
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Brief Note on Geopolitics and Investments

Date: 2016-07-28 - Prepared by: The GISI
Turkey’s President Erdogan was warned by Russia’s FSB to leave the hotel where he was vacationing, with his family, shortly before it was bombed. Vladimir Putin said “I don’t want him to end up like Gaddafi.” This is one version...
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GIS July 18 (The Key Indicator)

Date: 2016-07-17 - Prepared by: The GISI
The trade-weighted US$ is now the key leading indicator for stocks and the world economy. If the US$ continues to trade sideways, as it has since April 2016, stocks will appreciate by around 10% within the next several months. In...
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GIS July 5 (Avoid Concentration Risk)

Date: 2016-07-04 - Prepared by: The GISI
Rudy Giuliani, New York City's former mayor, has a saying: "Know what you believe.” How we interpret BrExit—its global implications and its consequences on Britain—depends, to a great extent, on our values and beliefs. If we “know what we believe,” then...
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BrExit – View from Canada

Date: 2016-06-27 - Prepared by: The GISI
Federal Government Leadership: Canada has had two independence referendums, in 1980 and 1995. During the 1995 Quebec’s referendum the turnout was 94%, the “yes” side had 49.4%, the “no” had 50.6%, and 1.8% of votes were deemed invalid. Some asked...
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