Data Reports for :

Global Investment Strategy

American-Russian Relations

Date: 2016-08-09 - Prepared by: The GISI
In March 2016, in a fascinating interview to The Atlantic magazine, president Obama revealed some of the dynamics of the US national-security apparatus and explained why, in September 2013, he refused to bomb Syria: “The perception was that my credibility...
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An Alternative to US Bank Stocks

Date: 2016-07-31 - Prepared by: The GISI
When it comes to North American banks, the best risk-reward strategy is to overweight Canadian banks at the expense of American and Mexican banks. Since January 2005, Canadian bank stocks have appreciated by 300% whereas US bank stocks have declined...
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Brief Note on Geopolitics and Investments

Date: 2016-07-28 - Prepared by: The GISI
Turkey’s President Erdogan was warned by Russia’s FSB to leave the hotel where he was vacationing, with his family, shortly before it was bombed. Vladimir Putin said “I don’t want him to end up like Gaddafi.” This is one version...
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GIS July 18 (The Key Indicator)

Date: 2016-07-17 - Prepared by: The GISI
The trade-weighted US$ is now the key leading indicator for stocks and the world economy. If the US$ continues to trade sideways, as it has since April 2016, stocks will appreciate by around 10% within the next several months. In...
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GIS July 5 (Avoid Concentration Risk)

Date: 2016-07-04 - Prepared by: The GISI
Rudy Giuliani, New York City's former mayor, has a saying: "Know what you believe.” How we interpret BrExit—its global implications and its consequences on Britain—depends, to a great extent, on our values and beliefs. If we “know what we believe,” then...
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BrExit – View from Canada

Date: 2016-06-27 - Prepared by: The GISI
Federal Government Leadership: Canada has had two independence referendums, in 1980 and 1995. During the 1995 Quebec’s referendum the turnout was 94%, the “yes” side had 49.4%, the “no” had 50.6%, and 1.8% of votes were deemed invalid. Some asked...
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BrExit and Market Consequences

Date: 2016-06-24 - Prepared by: The GISI
Britain's voters made a courageous decision to leave the European Union, despite all the warnings from so many people of influence and power-President Obama, Paul Krugman, Jamie Dimon, Mark Carney, Britain's former Prime Ministers and many others. If British voters...
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GIS June 20 (The Corruption Premium)

Date: 2016-06-19 - Prepared by: The GISI
This week’s GIS publication discusses only three topics. First, why pension funds’ shift away from public markets into infrastructure investments will most likely be a failure. Second, we present a brief qualitative analysis of the Chinese economy and its banking...
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Special Report (US vs Canada Banks)

Date: 2016-06-14 - Prepared by: The GISI
Since January 2005, Canadian bank stocks have appreciated by nearly 300% whereas US bank stocks have, on average, declined by more than 10%. As of today, the average Price-to-Book ratio of Canadian bank stocks is at 1.7x versus 1.0x for...
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GIS June 6 (Three Known Unknowns)

Date: 2016-06-05 - Prepared by: The GISI
Alan Greenspan has recently argued—just like he did in December 2015—that (a)it will be very difficult for the Fed to normalize rates without causing a turmoil in stocks; (b) long-term real bond yields are at unsustainably low levels, and should...
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